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Hacksaw
Hacksaw
Panther Fanatic
Last Activity: Yesterday, 08:11 PM
Joined: 01-15-2005
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  • The model right now has UNI at about a 17% chance of a Thursday game. Looking solely at only the UNI/Valpo game and excluding any potential shifts in Sagarin ratings, a win on Saturday reduces the Thursday odds to about 2%, whereas a loss increases it...
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  • Hacksaw
    replied to Game 27-@Evansville
    I concur with this. It's looking like in isolation, a win tomorrow actually will put UNI at slightly better than 50/50 to avoid Thursday, whereas a loss really starts to make the PIG appear inevitable (75%+)....
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  • Hacksaw
    replied to Game 25 - @ Drake
    The current simulations using Sagarin's Predictor ratings say going 3-3 (8-10) puts us on Thursday 76% of the time and 4-2 (9-9) puts us on Thursday only 15% of the time.

    ...
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  • Hacksaw
    replied to Game 24 - Bradley
    Looks to me like this is the narrowest gap between first and last through 11 conference games in at least 22 years and the best record a last place team has had during that stretch. Last year conference game 11 was Loyola's last loss until the Final...
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  • Hacksaw
    replied to Game 20--@ SIU
    Agreed. As of now the model has UNI at about a 59% chance of playing Thursday. A loss moves that to 66% and a win moves it to 44%. That 22% swing feels pretty dramatic for having 11 more games to play after tonight....
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