Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

[Panther789]

There are a few conversations about this in some other threads, but I thought I would try to consolidate a little.

Providence down 15 vs. Louisville - A loss and they are probably out.

Minnestota and NW are tied in the 2nd. Minnesota probably needs this win to be safe. NW probably needs at least 2 wins to have a shot.

Miami down 12 to V-Tech. The loser of this game is probably definately out. The winner might need a win over UNC tomorrow to get in as well.

Baylor leads KU by 4 at the half. Baylor probably needs to run the table to get in.

[Petrie Dish]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Providence loses by 18
Northwestern loses by 13

[Panther789]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Providence loses by 18
Northwestern loses by 13

Providence is probably out.

IMO, Minnesota is in, regardless of what they do against Michigan State tomorrow.

[Panther789]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Michigan crushing Iowa at the half. Michigan is probably in with that win.

Arizona up 2 on ASU in the first. This is a HUGE game for teams like CU. A win almost certainly keeps Zona ahead of teams like CU.

P.S. Can 1 of the mods move this to the basketball forum? My mistake.

[Panther789]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Michigan was in anyway. They have beaten MSU, Duke and UCLA and swept Minnesota (an NCAA team) as well.

They didnt beat MSU. You might be right about them being in regardless, but I think a 2nd loss to the hawks (and a below .500 conference record after today) would have left them wondering.

In any event, they are up 24.

[Panther789]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Zona loses to ASU. That is a big, big plus for a team like CU.

K-state is up 1 vs. Texas late. KSU is probably a fringe candidate at best, but a win today and they play Baylor in the semi-finals, guaranteeing at least 1 of those teams will be in the final with a chance to steal a bid.

[9YRPLAN]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

iowa didnt even show up today. it was an embarrassment that he did not have the kids ready to go. Indiana sucks something awful but at least they show up every game and bust ass, along with their fans.

[Panther789]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Texas wins by 3 points, Arizona was the "last team in" by Lunardi today on Bracketology. For Creighton and St. Mary's a San Diego State or New Mexico loss in the first round of the MWC Tournament would be good.

San Diego plays @ UNLV in that tournament...tip in just a few minutes.

IMO, the loser of that game will probably be out.

[Panther Cat]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Penn State beat Indiana good, they are probably in as of right now.

Utah State is beating Fresno State by 11, CU really needs them to win the WAC and not steal a bid.

San Diego State is beating UNLV by 17 in a battle of 2 bubble teams. A SDS win probably puts them in. Not sure about UNLV now.

Maryland plays NC State in a few minutes. I can't stand Maryland anyways, but a couple of wins in their tourny and they could get in. Go NC State.

Probably want Cal to beat USC later tonight too, they are in regardless and USC could play their way to a an at large bid.

I think if a below .500 Arkansas teams beats Florida they are done too.

Kentucky got a big win today, probably need two more to get in though.

Wyoming and New Mexico later tonight. If New Mexico bounces out early then I think Stevie and the Lobos might be in trouble. CU beat them head to head and have more road wins, top 100 wins, etc.

[Panther Cat]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Maryland won, that puts them as one of the last few in/out. So they need to lose tomorrow.

San Diego State beat UNLV, not really sure what that means, probably SDS goes before Creighton now?

[cydave]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Okie St. beats OU, they are probably in now.

[Panther Cat]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Wyoming beating New Mexico by 9 with 2:00 to go! That would surely put NM out of the tournament (and probably help out RPI with Wyoming winning, not that it really matters much).

I think things are looking up for Creighton. But you never know.

[Panther Cat]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Bubble Watch - Friday March 13th

North Carolina held off Virginia Tech, so they are down.

Minnesota lost to Michigan State but I think they are still in.

LSU is beating Kentucky by 7 early in the 2nd half, CU needs Kentucky to lose this one.

Mississippi State vs. South Carolina. CU needs South Carolina to lose this one.

Wake Forest vs. Maryland. Wake Forest needs to beat Maryland later today as well.

Texas vs. Baylor. Baylor probably won't get in unless they win the Big 12 tourny, but it's better they lose now.

Xavier vs. Temple. Temple probably has to win their tournament too, but Xavier winning would be a sigh of relief.

BYU vs. San Diego State. BYU is win, SDS is one of the last few in/out. Them getting beat would be a good thing, them getting beat big would be even better.

Auburn vs. Florida. Auburn is probably in right now and Florida out. Florida losing would put them out of the tourny (plus an Auburn win can only help out RPI if they look at that for seeding?).

St. Mary's vs. Eastern Washington. St. Mary's is on of the last few in/out. Eastern Washington is bad and playing for nothing, but them winning would knock St. Mary's out.

UCLA vs. USC. USC probably has to win out to get in, but a loss to UCLA would make everyone breath a little easier.

I'm sure there are a few other games I forgot, but it's a good day of bball and a lot of bubble games to watch.

[Panther789]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

LSU is beating Kentucky by 7 early in the 2nd half, CU needs Kentucky to lose this one.

Auburn vs. Florida. Auburn is probably in right now and Florida out. Florida losing would put them out of the tourny (plus an Auburn win can only help out RPI if they look at that for seeding?).

.

For the most part, I think you are right on the money. My 2 cents, based on a variety of projections I have been watching.

I think Kentucky has to win the SEC (or at the very least make the final) to be in. You are correct that a Kentucky loss is best for CU.

2nd, I certainly don't think Auburn is in right now. I think the loser of that game is probably out for sure, and the winner (especially if its Auburn) might need another win or so.

[TheMacHouse]

Re: Bubble Watch - Conference Tournaments

Penn State beat Indiana good, they are probably in as of right now.

Utah State is beating Fresno State by 11, CU really needs them to win the WAC and not steal a bid.
San Diego State is beating UNLV by 17 in a battle of 2 bubble teams. A SDS win probably puts them in. Not sure about UNLV now.

Maryland plays NC State in a few minutes. I can't stand Maryland anyways, but a couple of wins in their tourny and they could get in. Go NC State.

Probably want Cal to beat USC later tonight too, they are in regardless and USC could play their way to a an at large bid.

I think if a below .500 Arkansas teams beats Florida they are done too.

Kentucky got a big win today, probably need two more to get in though.

Wyoming and New Mexico later tonight. If New Mexico bounces out early then I think Stevie and the Lobos might be in trouble. CU beat them head to head and have more road wins, top 100 wins, etc.

I think Utah St winning the tournament is better for Creighton since they could steal a bid but might not since St Mary's has to be above Utah St. I also think them losing could help UNI move up to a possible 11 seed. I still think that it would be better for UNI to be an 11 seed to play closer to home than a 12/13. Tough to firgure out who to cheer for in the WAC but Utah St losing could be ok.