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**jnutt** · 02-18-2013, 05:17 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

if Iowa makes it in with number that bad, I'll start a one man riot

**unipanthers8907** · 02-18-2013, 05:26 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

If you could turn any two of our losses into wins, I think we are on the bubble. However, we can't, so I'm not sure how realistic our chances are.

IMHO I don't think we have a shot at an at-large even if we win out and lose in the MVC Tournament Championship.

**jnutt** · 02-18-2013, 05:32 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Originally posted by unipanthers8907 View Post

If you could turn any two of our losses into wins, I think we are on the bubble. However, we can't, so I'm not sure how realistic our chances are.

IMHO I don't think we have a shot at an at-large even if we win out and lose in the MVC Tournament Championship.

agree, it will go to an underachieving Major school like Iowa

**PantherHawk** · 02-18-2013, 05:56 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Joe Lunardi already said if Iowa finishes the stretch 5-1, they will be on the bubble, more than likely. They have some tough games coming up, but if they win those games and one in the BTT, they will more than likely be in. That will have them finishing 6th in the Big Ten. The Big Ten will more than likely get 7-8 teams in as it being the #1 conference in the nation.

I do not think Iowa deserves a bid, their schedule was the easiest out of all Big Ten teams and their Out of conference schedule was horrible. But I don't make the selections, so who knows. Every year there are teams that are left out that deserve to be in, and there are teams that get in, that probably don't deserve to be in.

**9YRPLAN** · 02-18-2013, 08:45 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Iowa is not even on the bubble. Why are they in this comparison?

**9YRPLAN** · 02-18-2013, 08:49 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Originally posted by PantherHawk View Post

Joe Lunardi already said if Iowa finishes the stretch 5-1, they will be on the bubble, more than likely. They have some tough games coming up, but if they win those games and one in the BTT, they will more than likely be in. That will have them finishing 6th in the Big Ten. The Big Ten will more than likely get 7-8 teams in as it being the #1 conference in the nation.

I do not think Iowa deserves a bid, their schedule was the easiest out of all Big Ten teams and their Out of conference schedule was horrible. But I don't make the selections, so who knows. Every year there are teams that are left out that deserve to be in, and there are teams that get in, that probably don't deserve to be in.

So you somehow think iowa should be in if they played a less crappy but still crappy pre conference schedule? They would be the exact same team with the exact same record. How can you justify that logic? Iowa is a good team who is unlucky, much like uni, and the numbers back that up.

**panther-state** · 02-18-2013, 09:02 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

3-9 against the Top 100. Man, that kills. It's sad that record improves when you take out 51-100 (3-5). Oh what could've been

**PantherHawk** · 02-18-2013, 09:16 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Originally posted by 9YRPLAN View Post

So you somehow think iowa should be in if they played a less crappy but still crappy pre conference schedule? They would be the exact same team with the exact same record. How can you justify that logic? Iowa is a good team who is unlucky, much like uni, and the numbers back that up.

Their out of conference schedule was TERRIBLE. IF they would of played teams in the 100-200 range it would of been better, but they played a lot of 300+ teams. Their Big TEN conference schedule was also the easiest out of any of the teams playing (OSU, MICH, MSU, Illinois) only 1 time. Their wins are coming against the bottom half of the conference.

Did you not read, I said they shouldn't be in. BUT if they finish 5-1 down the stretch and get to 6th place (possible tie for 5th) in the Big Ten, they will be in the discussion. Last time I checked no team (from the BCS) conferences has been left out of the big Dance. There are a lot of factors, but their remaining games are all winnable (outside of @ IU).

**Blue42** · 02-18-2013, 09:21 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Originally posted by 9YRPLAN View Post

So you somehow think iowa should be in if they played a less crappy but still crappy pre conference schedule? They would be the exact same team with the exact same record. How can you justify that logic? Iowa is a good team who is unlucky, much like uni, and the numbers back that up.

Thank God I logged in today to get my daily dose of Hawkeye apologist crapola.

Iowa ain't going dancing baby...and it ain't because they're unlucky.

**unipanthers8907** · 02-18-2013, 10:05 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Originally posted by 9YRPLAN View Post

Iowa is not even on the bubble. Why are they in this comparison?

I just listed Iowa and Iowa State on there for comparison purposes. Sorry!

**panther-state** · 02-18-2013, 10:08 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

I really thought Iowa State had a better resume than that. They've really cooled off considering they were almost tied for 1st in the Big XII a few weeks ago

**9YRPLAN** · 02-18-2013, 10:42 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Originally posted by Blue42 View Post

Thank God I logged in today to get my daily dose of Hawkeye apologist crapola.

Iowa ain't going dancing baby...and it ain't because they're unlucky.

Most unbiased stats disagree with you.

**9YRPLAN** · 02-18-2013, 10:45 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Iowa is one of the teams that I've been keeping in my bracket projections while most everybody else has them out. The other best example is Virginia. The case against Iowa is pure RPI obsession - their RPI stinks (81st in the nation). But the reason their RPI stinks is the biggest reason that the RPI as a rating system stinks - it's so strongly affected by whether you had some really bad teams on your schedule. Iowa has three nice wins (Wisconsin, Minnesota and Iowa State) to go with only two RPI 35+ losses (Virginia Tech and Purdue), and their Sagarin ELO_SCORE is 31st. Why does Sagarin think Iowa's resume is 31st best while the RPI has it 81st? Because the Sagarin ratings recognize that beating team #200 isn't significantly more impressive than beating team #340 when you're as good as Iowa, but the RPI doesn't. Iowa has played seven teams with a 250+ RPI, including five outside the RPI Top 300. That's the way you murder your RPI.

The good news for Iowa is that the Selection Committee is not as obsessed with the RPI as the media is. If Iowa gets to 10-8 in Big Ten play (going 4-1 in their final five games - four of which they'll be favored in) then they should be NCAA Tournament bound. If they end up only 9-9 then they'll need to win a game in the Big Ten tournament, but that probably will be enough. Like I said, their Sagarin ELO_SCORE is 31st, and no team with a Sagarin ELO rating higher than 35th (and only three higher than 40th) has missed the Tournament in the past four seasons. Iowa's next game is a must-win, on the road at Nebraska on Thursday.

Originally posted by panther-state View Post

I really thought Iowa State had a better resume than that. They've really cooled off considering they were almost tied for 1st in the Big XII a few weeks ago

Isu is a great example of what iowa would look like with a crappy OOC schedule instead of a super crappy schedule. Except iowa actually has more good wins.

**panther-state** · 02-18-2013, 10:47 PM

Re: Blind Résumé - 2013

Originally posted by 9YRPLAN View Post

Isu is a great example of what iowa would look like with a crappy OOC schedule instead of a super crappy schedule. Except iowa actually has more good wins.

There is actual merit to this...

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