Some Interesting MVC Stats

[achrist70]

I look at Rutgers at the biggest example of the flaw within the NET rankings. They are currently 18-11 and 9-9 in the big 10, which doesn't sound too bad. However they are 17-1 at home, 1-8 on the road (win at Nebraska) and 0-2 in neutral games. Most of the 17 wins at home are against Division 1 teams who probably would be given a game by Division 3 teams. This is the type of team, along with teams like Purdue, Alabama, Arizona State that need shouldn't be in the tournament.

[beef50677]

Concentrating solely on non-conference SoS doesn't give you the big picture. Conference SoS plays a big role too. the Big Ten can go out and play a bunch of cupcakes because they have their conference games to help their ranking. Plus they have the money and the clout to buy a bunch of cupcake games. The MVC doesn't have that luxury (teams already have to resort to playing multiple D3 teams in order to get their cupcake games)

As far as working the system, WRONG! I have totally laid out how you beat the system, you do it in non-conference. If you don't understand the mathematics, that's your not understanding.

The ability to play cupcakes and also-rans, not entirely true. Some of those can be played on the road, which is actually beneficial to a team's Adjusted Winning Percentage. No, most mid-majors can't buy ten or eleven home dates with dirtbags. But look at UNI's schedule this year...there's some dogs on it. It can be done.

[UNIGrainer]

The most full-on crazy thing about NET is that the formula is a tightly kept secret. It could literally be some guy in his parents' basement just making it up however he wants for all we know.

[beef50677]

What's the big secret?

[sevelev711]

Because we don't know the weights of those various factors. For example, that entire article would ring true if Team Value index was 95% of what they consider or 30% of what they consider. We also don't know the weight of the TVI specifically (the most important factor), how heavy do they factor in opponent, result, or location?

If we did know those things, then we would know the way to game the formula, and this conversation would be moot.

[CyCarp]

If we did know those things, then we would know the way to game the formula, and this conversation would be moot.

Haven't we already determined that the Big Ten already figured this out, and it didn't take long.