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The Official 'Just the Fact' Playoff Outlook

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  • #31
    Originally posted by northwest iowa panther View Post
    I agree with you Cat. I remember watching their run through the playoffs and the announcers making a big deal out of their nonscholarship status. They were the National Runnerup that year, 2003.
    Read my link again, no non-scholorship team has made the IAA playoffs. I'm not sure what you're remembering, but it seems you memory is failing you here.

    I think they're probably one of these 'equivalency' schools who don't technically give athletic scholorships, yet the players are on some other sort of scholarship.

    Comment


    • #32
      News-
      This is what I was thinking of, but wasn't for sure. They must be need-based equivalency type program. I'll try to find out more about it. Ralph is probably the best one to straighten us out!
      The Lord reigns, let the earth be glad; let the distant shores rejoice, clouds and thick darkness surround Him; righteousness and justice are the foundation of His throne. Fire goes before Him, and consumes his foes on every side; His lightning lights up the world; the earth sees and trembles; the mountains melt like wax before the Lord of all the earth. The heavens proclaim His righteousness and all peoples will see His glory.

      Comment


      • #33
        Colgate itself may be a non-scholarship or need based program, but they play in a scholarship league.

        Comment


        • #34
          Originally posted by Newsbreaker View Post
          We want ISU, IMHO. With a bad loss, we want a win against ISU to mean as much as possible, and that's only going to happen if they keep winning.
          We want an ISU loss on Saturday. With that bad loss we want the auto bid, not a championship showdown. Every loss for other teams helps. If we win out, we're seeded and it doesn't matter what Il St is ranked coming in.
          Selling a lot of old UNI stuff here: http://www.panthernation.com/showthread.php?t=65762

          Comment


          • #35
            I really don't think it matters. I think we will win out because Illinois St. has to come here, but even a loss to them leaves us 8-3 and we will get in. The key is winning out and with any luck at all getting the #2 seed so that we get three in The Dome.

            Not to jinx us or look ahead, but can you imagine that Friday Night Semifinal in The Dome? We might blow the roof off the place!!

            Comment


            • #36
              Originally posted by Rob Weiss View Post
              We want an ISU loss on Saturday. With that bad loss we want the auto bid, not a championship showdown. Every loss for other teams helps. If we win out, we're seeded and it doesn't matter what Il St is ranked coming in.
              We don't need them to lose a game to get the Autobid, other then the game here in Cedar Falls. If they lose between now and then, and we go undefeated, then they beat us, they would get the autobid. If we both win out and we beat them, we get the autobid. If we lose once, they win out, and we beat them, we get the autobid.

              Remember, rankings mean NOTHING when it comes seeding time. We have a bad loss, and need a "great" win to neutralize that. Beating an undefeated Il State team would do that. Beating a one loss Il State team would be much less impactful.

              Comment


              • #37
                I don't think it matters tremendously either way this weekend in Normal. What matters is what we do the rest of the way: one loss still gets us in, no losses (undefeated in conference) should get us a seed based on the strength of our conference. The ND loss will still look bad, but the SDSU win is looking better every week.
                That being said the road just gets tougher:
                Western Illinois: Out to try and spoil someones year, we're their last shot at the big boys of the conference.
                Western Kentucky: In the position we have been the last few years, knowing one loss will likely mean staying home, but still playing for a conference title.
                Southern Illinois: Probably in the same boat as WKU if they lose at YSU next week, one more and done.
                Illinois State: If we both run the table, this should be an unbelievably big game with the conference title and a playoff seed on the table.

                Khan

                Comment


                • #38
                  Yep, we cant go back in time and change that one game so our best chance for a seed is for both teams to win out and then we win in the dome.
                  Even better is if that happens and a there are a few more upsets in the top 6.

                  Its ok to hope for the best outcome but just makeing the playoffs is good too.

                  Comment


                  • #39
                    All I can say is it looks like another sprint to the finish this year. Hooray for I-AA football!
                    Sincerely,
                    The Future AD of the University of Northern Iowa

                    Comment


                    • #40
                      Down to 27 teams for 16 spots...
                      The Lord reigns, let the earth be glad; let the distant shores rejoice, clouds and thick darkness surround Him; righteousness and justice are the foundation of His throne. Fire goes before Him, and consumes his foes on every side; His lightning lights up the world; the earth sees and trembles; the mountains melt like wax before the Lord of all the earth. The heavens proclaim His righteousness and all peoples will see His glory.

                      Comment


                      • #41
                        Cal Poly is getting smoked by NDSU...there goes another playoff hopeful.
                        The Lord reigns, let the earth be glad; let the distant shores rejoice, clouds and thick darkness surround Him; righteousness and justice are the foundation of His throne. Fire goes before Him, and consumes his foes on every side; His lightning lights up the world; the earth sees and trembles; the mountains melt like wax before the Lord of all the earth. The heavens proclaim His righteousness and all peoples will see His glory.

                        Comment


                        • #42
                          How many teams would need to go down for a 7-4 UNI team to get into the play-offs?
                          "10% of life is what happens to you, 90% is how you react to what happens."

                          Comment


                          • #43
                            My guess is that this is what you will see:

                            Automatic Bid Locks
                            Appalachian State (9-1)...Southern Conference---#1 seed
                            UMASS (10-1)---A-10 North Champs/Autobid Recipient---#2 seed
                            Youngstown State (9-2)---Gateway Football Conference---#4 seed
                            Hampton (10-1)---Mid-Eastern Atlantic Conference
                            Lehigh (7-4)---iPatriot League Champ
                            Montana (10-1)---Big Sky Champ---#3 seed
                            Tennessee Martin (9-2)---OVC Champ
                            SOUTHLAND CHAMP

                            At-Large Bids
                            James Madison (9-2)
                            New Hampshire (8-3)
                            Illinois State
                            Southern Illinois (8-3)
                            Furman (8-3)
                            San Diego (10-0)---unfortunately

                            Those are the teams I think are good probabilities at getting bids. That leaves two spots. Here are the teams that are left that can get 7 D1 wins.

                            BUBBLE TEAMS
                            Towson (7-3)
                            Montana State (7-3)
                            Portland State (7-4)---all D1 schedule (two losses to 1-A, one win via 1-A)
                            Northern Iowa (6-4)
                            Delaware State (8-2)
                            Florida A&M (6-4)
                            South Carolina State (6-4)
                            Eastern Illinois (7-4)---will play a 12 game schedule this year
                            Tennessee State (6-4)---plays an all D1 schedule
                            Holy Cross (7-4)---7 D1 wins make them playoff eligible
                            Coastal Carolina (8-2)
                            Wofford (6-4)
                            Last edited by Panthers to the Bone; 11-13-2006, 03:47 PM.
                            The Lord reigns, let the earth be glad; let the distant shores rejoice, clouds and thick darkness surround Him; righteousness and justice are the foundation of His throne. Fire goes before Him, and consumes his foes on every side; His lightning lights up the world; the earth sees and trembles; the mountains melt like wax before the Lord of all the earth. The heavens proclaim His righteousness and all peoples will see His glory.

                            Comment


                            • #44
                              By the looks of it then by the teams compiled here, if UNI upsets Ill.St. Saturday they still might have a chance at the playoffs? Coastal Car. and Eastern Ill. will be also competing for those last spots. Strength of schedule should be a factor with UNI's chances. They still might have one last push...

                              Comment


                              • #45
                                Originally posted by Panthers to the Bone View Post

                                Automatic Bid Locks
                                Tennessee Martin (9-2)---OVC Champ
                                SOUTHLAND CHAMP


                                BUBBLE TEAMS

                                Eastern Illinois (7-4)---will play a 12 game schedule this year
                                Just an FYI regarding the OVC:



                                If Eastern Illinois, UT-Martin and Tennessee State all win, the Panthers earn the automatic spot with an 8-4 record and the Skyhawks likely earn an at-large spot with a 9-2 record. Wins by both of those teams and a loss by Tennessee State gives UT-Martin the automatic spot and pushes the Panthers into playoff limbo with the other four-loss teams and squads with shiny records against soft schedules

                                EIU might very well get the Auto Bid.

                                Thus making Tenn-Martin a possible at-large choice.

                                Comment

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