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Confidence Picks Game for Fall 2021

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  • Confidence Picks Game for Fall 2021

    It’s time for another Confidence Picks game. Try to knock me off my lofty perch of winning the delayed 2020 game!

    If you aren't familiar with it, you should think of it as a UNI football season version of a confidence picks game for predicting bowl outcomes.

    Here is how it works:
    1. Before the kickoff of the first game, pick whether UNI wins or loses in each game.
    2. Assign confidence points for each pick (1 through 11 with 11 being the pick for which you are the most confident and thus win the most points).
    3. Sit back and watch. Or change your confidence picks for games that haven’t started and confidence points that haven’t been used. If you make changes, do so with a reply post which I will check, not an edited post which I would probably never see.
    4. If your prediction for the game was correct, then you get the points. If your prediction was incorrect, then you lose the points. This gives us a range for the season of +66 (if you get all right) to -66 points (if you get all wrong).
    5. I will post standings after each weekend (or someone more savvy with spreadsheets will).

    It could be a really challenging game as UNI exceeds expectations (or falls flat).

    If you are still interested, go on to the next post to see an example of how it works.

  • #2
    Example. Here is a set of confidence picks by a diehard Panther fan who thinks UNI will win every game. She has assigned confidence points in descending order following the schedule (11 points for beating ISU, 10 Sac State, etc.) So, if they actually win eleven games (losing only to SDSU and NDSU), here is how the scoring would work:
    • At Iowa State. UNI wins, so she earns 11 Confidence Points. +11.
    • At Sacramento State. UNI wins, so she earns 10 Confidence Points. +23.
    • St. Thomas. UNI wins, so she earns 9 Confidence Points. +32.
    • Youngstown State. UNI wins, so she earns 8 Confidence Points. +40.
    • At North Dakota State. NDSU wins, so she loses 7 Confidence Points. +33.
    • South Dakota. UNI wins, so she earns 6 Confidence Points. +39.
    • At South Dakota State. SDSU wins, so she loses 5 Confidence Points. +34.
    • Southern Illinois. UNI wins, so she earns 4 Confidence Points. +44.
    • At Illinois State. UNI wins, so she earns 3 Confidence Points. +47.
    • At Missouri State. UNI wins, so she earns 2 Confidence Points. +49.
    • Western Illinois. UNI wins, so she wins 1 Confidence Point. +50.

    This is likely to put her in contention to win the game.

    Comment


    • #3
      Next, I will post my picks. If you wish, you can cut, paste, and edit for your picks. Here are my actual picks.
      • Game 1. At Iowa State. Loss. 11 confidence points.
      • Game 2. At Sacramento State. Win. 7 confidence points.
      • Game 3. St. Thomas. Win. 6 confidence points.
      • Game 4. Youngstown State. Win. 2 confidence points.
      • Game 5. At North Dakota State. Loss. 10 confidence points.
      • Game 6. South Dakota. Loss. 1 confidence points.
      • Game 7. At South Dakota State. Loss. 9 confidence points.
      • Game 8. Southern Illinois. Loss. 8 confidence points.
      • Game 9. At Illinois State. Loss. 3 confidence points.
      • Game 10. At Missouri State. Loss. 4 confidence points.
      • Game 11. Western Illinois. Win. 5 confidence points.

      Sorry, but I think this is going to be a frustrating year for the Panthers.

      Comment


      • #4
        • Game 1. At Iowa State. Loss. 8 confidence points.
        • Game 2. At Sacramento State. Win. 6 confidence points.
        • Game 3. St. Thomas. Win. 11 confidence points.
        • Game 4. Youngstown State. Win. 9 confidence points.
        • Game 5. At North Dakota State. Win. 1 confidence points.
        • Game 6. South Dakota. Win. 7 confidence points.
        • Game 7. At South Dakota State. Win. 2 confidence points.
        • Game 8. Southern Illinois. Win. 4 confidence points.
        • Game 9. At Illinois State. Win. 3 confidence points.
        • Game 10. At Missouri State. Win. 5 confidence points.
        • Game 11. Western Illinois. Win. 10 confidence points.
        Last edited by BCPanther; 09-14-2021, 08:32 AM.

        Comment


        • #5
          Originally posted by UNIdad View Post
          It’s time for another Confidence Picks game. Try to knock me off my lofty perch of winning the delayed 2020 game!

          If you aren't familiar with it, you should think of it as a UNI football season version of a confidence picks game for predicting bowl outcomes.

          Here is how it works:
          1. Before the kickoff of the first game, pick whether UNI wins or loses in each game.
          2. Assign confidence points for each pick (1 through 11 with 11 being the pick for which you are the most confident and thus win the most points).
          3. Sit back and watch. Or change your confidence picks for games that haven’t started and confidence points that haven’t been used. If you make changes, do so with a reply post which I will check, not an edited post which I would probably never see.
          4. If your prediction for the game was correct, then you get the points. If your prediction was incorrect, then you lose the points. This gives us a range for the season of +66 (if you get all right) to -66 points (if you get all wrong).
          5. I will post standings after each weekend (or someone more savvy with spreadsheets will).

          It could be a really challenging game as UNI exceeds expectations (or falls flat).

          If you are still interested, go on to the next post to see an example of how it works.
          Do you still have that workbook I through together? Hopefully it will still work for you

          Comment


          • #6
            • Game 1. At Iowa State. Loss 10 confidence points.
            • Game 2. At Sacramento State. Loss. 3 confidence points.
            • Game 3. St. Thomas. Win. 11 confidence points.
            • Game 4. Youngstown State. Win. 7 confidence points.
            • Game 5. At North Dakota State. Loss. 2 confidence points.
            • Game 6. South Dakota. Win. 8 confidence points.
            • Game 7. At South Dakota State. Loss. 4 confidence points.
            • Game 8. Southern Illinois. Win. 6 confidence points.
            • Game 9. At Illinois State. Win. 5 confidence points.
            • Game 10. At Missouri State. Loss. 1 confidence points.
            • Game 11. Western Illinois. Win. 9 confidence points.
            I'm feeling good at Home not so much on the road

            Comment


            • #7
              Originally posted by DownGoesKansas View Post

              Do you still have that workbook I through together? Hopefully it will still work for you

              I'll look for it. I'm sure I have it because I don't delete anything. Last year, we didn't have many players, so it was pretty easy to cut and paste from a spreadsheet. We'll see how many players we have this year. Speaking of which, I look forward to seeing your picks.

              Comment


              • #8
                Originally posted by BCPanther View Post
                • Game 1. At Iowa State. Loss. 8 confidence points.
                • Game 2. At Sacramento State. Win. 6 confidence points.
                • Game 3. St. Thomas. Win. 11 confidence points.
                • Game 4. Youngstown State. Win. 9 confidence points.
                • Game 5. At North Dakota State. Win. 1 confidence points.
                • Game 6. South Dakota. Win. 7 confidence points.
                • Game 7. At South Dakota State. Win. 2 confidence points.
                • Game 8. Southern Illinois. Win. 4 confidence points.
                • Game 9. At Illinois State. Win. 3 confidence points.
                • Game 10. At Missouri State. Win. 5 confidence points.
                • Game 11. Western Illinois. Win. 10 confidence points.
                Bleep it. This defense slaps and Will is going to find himself when he's not running for his life.


                I hope you win!

                Comment


                • #9
                  • Game 1. At Iowa State. Loss. 11 confidence points.
                  • Game 2. At Sacramento State. Win. 7 confidence points.
                  • Game 3. St. Thomas. Win. 10 confidence points.
                  • Game 4. Youngstown State. Win. 9 confidence points.
                  • Game 5. At North Dakota State. Loss. 8 confidence points.
                  • Game 6. South Dakota. Win. 1 confidence points.
                  • Game 7. At South Dakota State. Loss. 6 confidence points.
                  • Game 8. Southern Illinois. Win. 4 confidence points.
                  • Game 9. At Illinois State. Win. 3 confidence points.
                  • Game 10. At Missouri State. Win. 2 confidence points.
                  • Game 11. Western Illinois. Win. 5 confidence points.

                  Comment


                  • #10
                    • At Iowa State - Loss - 11 pts.
                    • At Sacramento State - Loss - 3 pts.
                    • St. Thomas - Win - 10 pts.
                    • Youngstown State - Win - 4 pts.
                    • At North Dakota State - Loss - 8 pts.
                    • South Dakota - Win - 6 pts.
                    • At South Dakota State - Loss - 7 pts.
                    • Southern Illinois - Win - 5 pts.
                    • At Illinois State - Win - 2 pts.
                    • At Missouri State - Win - 1 pt.
                    • Western Illinois - Win - 9 pts.
                    7-4 overall
                    Last edited by 95UNIGRAD; 09-01-2021, 02:50 PM.
                    Give us a yell, HO! The purple and the gold
                    Victory for U-N-I!

                    Find out what the other team wants to do, then take it away from them.
                    - George Halas

                    Comment


                    • #11
                      Guys, I love you all but Western Illinois is coming off back to back one win seasons and Mark's only lost two November home games EVER (2002 vs Western Illinois and 2016 vs SDSU).

                      I think y'all may want to re-evaluate that one.

                      Comment


                      • #12
                        • Game 1. At Iowa State. Loss. 11 confidence points.
                        • Game 2. At Sacramento State. Loss. 5 confidence points.
                        • Game 3. St. Thomas. Win. 10 confidence points.
                        • Game 4. Youngstown State. Win. 4 confidence points.
                        • Game 5. At North Dakota State. Loss. 9 confidence points.
                        • Game 6. South Dakota. Win. 1 confidence points.
                        • Game 7. At South Dakota State. Loss. 7 confidence points.
                        • Game 8. Southern Illinois. Loss. 2 confidence points.
                        • Game 9. At Illinois State. Loss. 6 confidence points.
                        • Game 10. At Missouri State. 3 Win confidence points.
                        • Game 11. Western Illinois. Win. 8 confidence points.
                        I really hope I’m wrong. But after watching last spring

                        Comment


                        • #13
                          • Game 1. At Iowa State. W, 1 Point
                          • Game 2. At Sacramento State. L, 3 Points
                          • Game 3. St. Thomas. W, 11 Points
                          • Game 4. Youngstown State. W, 8 Points
                          • Game 5. At North Dakota State. L, 4 Points
                          • Game 6. South Dakota. W, 10 Points
                          • Game 7. At South Dakota State. L, 2 Points
                          • Game 8. Southern Illinois. L, 5 Points
                          • Game 9. At Illinois State. W, 6 Points
                          • Game 10. At Missouri State. W, 7 Points
                          • Game 11. Western Illinois. W, 9 points
                          Edited to fix my 4/10 mistake. Numbers are hard.
                          Last edited by DomeIsHome; 09-01-2021, 04:29 PM.

                          Comment


                          • #14
                            You have two 4s and you're missing a 10, Dome is Home
                            Give us a yell, HO! The purple and the gold
                            Victory for U-N-I!

                            Find out what the other team wants to do, then take it away from them.
                            - George Halas

                            Comment


                            • #15
                              • Game 1. At Iowa State. Loss 11 confidence points.
                              • Game 2. At Sacramento State. Win 5 confidence points.
                              • Game 3. St. Thomas. Win 10 confidence points.
                              • Game 4. Youngstown State. Win 7 confidence points.
                              • Game 5. At North Dakota State. Loss 1 confidence point.
                              • Game 6. South Dakota. Win 3 confidence points.
                              • Game 7. At South Dakota State. Loss 8 confidence points.
                              • Game 8. Southern Illinois. Win 6 confidence points.
                              • Game 9. At Illinois State. Win 2 confidence points.
                              • Game 10. At Missouri State. Win 4 confidence points.
                              • Game 11. Western Illinois. Win 9 confidence points.

                              Comment

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