Tweet
I was looking tonight at the Pomeroy rankings and based on where they are at, and it probably won't move before Tuesday Night, this is based on his rankings how the MVC will look:
1. UNI 14-4
2. Missouri State and Wichita State 13-5
4. Illinois State 10-8
5. Creighton 9-9
6. SIU 8-10
7. Bradley and Indiana State 7-11
9. Evansville 6-12
10. Drake 4-14
If I've added correctly,
he has one too many wins and one too few losses somewhere, but if lets say Bradley finished 6-12 instead of 7-11 then his number of wins and losses add up.
His numbers don't move a lot like Real Time RPI's does, and there hasn't been a lot of movement in his predicted MVC win totals recently. For awhile he had UNI going 13-5 and MSU and Wichita State going 14-4.
He has calculated that UNI will only lose at Missouri State and Wichita State, but apparently does some sort of adjustment to arrive at his final figure. He also calculated that MSU and WSU would also only lose two so he adjusted them more than he did UNI.
I would expect Creighton to win more than 9 games, his actual calculations before the adjustment has them winning only 8, but then I expected them to win more non-conference games then they did too. I would another two wins to Creighton. I also think he is low as far as the number of wins for Illinois State by one. At the same time I think he is too high on Missouri State and Wichita State, and would maybe subtract one for WSU and two for Missouri State.
Anyway, it was an interesting read.
As far as UNI opponents, he now has Iowa State as the 7th best team in the Big 12. He has Boston College as next to last in the ACC, and DePaul last in the Big East. Denver is ranked 1st in the Sun Belt. Funny, he doesn't have Iowa very far behind Indiana (NR 164 vs. 179). Maybe the Hawks won't finish last.
1. UNI 14-4
2. Missouri State and Wichita State 13-5
4. Illinois State 10-8
5. Creighton 9-9
6. SIU 8-10
7. Bradley and Indiana State 7-11
9. Evansville 6-12
10. Drake 4-14
If I've added correctly,
he has one too many wins and one too few losses somewhere, but if lets say Bradley finished 6-12 instead of 7-11 then his number of wins and losses add up.His numbers don't move a lot like Real Time RPI's does, and there hasn't been a lot of movement in his predicted MVC win totals recently. For awhile he had UNI going 13-5 and MSU and Wichita State going 14-4.
He has calculated that UNI will only lose at Missouri State and Wichita State, but apparently does some sort of adjustment to arrive at his final figure. He also calculated that MSU and WSU would also only lose two so he adjusted them more than he did UNI.
I would expect Creighton to win more than 9 games, his actual calculations before the adjustment has them winning only 8, but then I expected them to win more non-conference games then they did too. I would another two wins to Creighton. I also think he is low as far as the number of wins for Illinois State by one. At the same time I think he is too high on Missouri State and Wichita State, and would maybe subtract one for WSU and two for Missouri State.
Anyway, it was an interesting read.
As far as UNI opponents, he now has Iowa State as the 7th best team in the Big 12. He has Boston College as next to last in the ACC, and DePaul last in the Big East. Denver is ranked 1st in the Sun Belt. Funny, he doesn't have Iowa very far behind Indiana (NR 164 vs. 179). Maybe the Hawks won't finish last.
Comment