People train don't run out of Wichita but we will have to
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Hello 4-5 Seed
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Re: Hello 4-5 Seed
Do you mean like losing at Evansville and Southern like we did last year? Not that far fetched. Aces have us and MSU at home to finish, not hard to see them winning two. Drake finishes with SIU and Bradley, could easily get two wins there even if they have to play in Wichita on senior night.Originally posted by clenz View PostIt would take some pretty big happenings to get stuck on thursday st this point
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We control our destiny. The Bradley home game is a must plus we have to have one of the two roadies. I think 9-9 will avoid Thursday, not sure 8-10 does it, and both UE and DU have decent shots at 9-9. We can knock UE down a peg with a win Wednesday, but it won't be easy or pretty and a loss puts us hard against a wall.
Craziest of all after I've said that, 3rd place is still a possibility if you look at MSU and ISUreds finishing schedules.
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Re: Hello 4-5 Seed
There is a nice breakdown on this site of all the possible outcomes for the standing.
It is more likely that we end up in the 4-5 game (46% chance) as opposed to the 3-6 or Thursday games.
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Re: Hello 4-5 Seed
That is just not true. If we lose tomorrow we will probably be in 7th (tied for 7th). Not to mention 2 of our last 3 Valley games are on the road where we are 1-6. There's a decent chance 2 of 3 will be necessary to pull it off, and possibly all 3. The blog that mapped out the chances of each team finishing in each seed gave us a 29% of finishing 7th 8th or 9th. Its probably higher now with ISU Blue beating ISU Red tonight.Originally posted by clenz View PostIt would take some pretty big happenings to get stuck on thursday st this point
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Most every game that has happened in the last week besides our game has hurt our chances. It would be nice if Bradley did us a solid tomorrow.Last edited by UNIGrainer; 02-14-2012, 09:14 PM.
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Re: Hello 4-5 Seed
Exactly. Indiana State is now tied with us in wins. A win tomorrow puts us in a tie for 4th (and drops Evansville a game back), a loss means we are at best, in a tie for 6th if Drake loses, tied with Indiana State for 7th if Drake wins. We would be a game back of Evansville, Illinois State and Drake in the worst case scenario.
The good news is we control our destiny and Indiana State may have opened a door for us if we can take advantage.
But we must keep winning.
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