Up Next: Southern Illinois

[Panther100]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

The sky is falling!!! The sky is falling!!!

If you think we need to win 16 or 17 games in the MVC for tournament selection then, yes, this is a must win. If 13, 14, or 15 wins puts in a bubble spot, then no, this is not a must win.

This is a game against a team with a top 100 RPI, in conference, on the road. None of those will look bad if we lose and SIU continues to play well. If we lose and they tank, then maybe. Still, it is on the road not a home game so this is not a must win.

Home games, all of those 200+ RPI teams. Those are 'must' wins.

15-3/2-1 in St. Louis is the minimum for an at large to equal 25-9. Yeah, 23-11 or 13-5/2-1 in St. Louis will be fine for the NIT. I like the sky is falling metaphor. Keep losing and we can relax. The season will be over.

[Kyle]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

Interesting that the bb team has put themselves in much the same position as the fb team was in last fall by losing several games they should not have. Now it's win out (or almost for bb) or miss the postseason.

Of course this situation has generated a lot less hate towards he bb team/coaches than it did for fb due to much lower expectations.

Wait a second.

Do you really think MBB needs to win every single remaining game to make the postseason?

[sivert]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

Wait a second.

Do you really think MBB needs to win every single remaining game to make the postseason?

If we win every conference game, our RPI will be in the 20s going into St. Louis.
If we lose 3 in conference, it will be about 48. Bubble.

[ilovecats]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

If we win every conference game, our RPI will be in the 20s going into St. Louis.
If we lose 3 in conference, it will be about 48. Bubble.

RPI of 48 with 2 big time wins is not on the bubble

[UNIChippewa]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

All of the stats/advanced metrics websites I follow predict a very close game.

KenPom - 43% chance to win, with a predicted score of of 71-69

RPIForecast - 50% chance to win, no score predicted.

Team Rankings - 48.1 % chance to win, no score predicted.

For some reason Massey isn't working at the moment.

I don't see it being more than a 5 point game either way. A loss won't necessarily be a back-breaker, but obviously a win would go a long ways.

[Panther100]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

Five more losses from a marginally talented league will make the committee forget the UNC/ISU wins and equal a 3-4 NIT seed. The committee will reason Carolina would have won with Marcus Paige. Seven more losses or twelve in total we miss the NIT. Unless Coach Jake figures it out, we'll get sweep off into the sunset by WSU/Evansville.

[ban basketball]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

I wonder what people on here who regularly violate the forum rules don't have their own section of "too dangerous for forum discussions" threads?

Intuhesting...

[TravelingPanther]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

I'm not sure what to make of this game. I had low expectations coming into the season and they have been raised, lowered, raised again, and now are pretty much non-existent.

[UNIChippewa]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

I'm not sure what to make of this game. I had low expectations coming into the season and they have been raised, lowered, raised again, and now are pretty much non-existent.

I think that's probably the most emotionally healthy perspective to take at this point.

[Username]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

I think we need 15 wins, but this is a game we could afford to drop.

[sivert]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

Got to get started with a w. And news on how Wes is feeling?

[Kyle]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

I wonder what people on here who regularly violate the forum rules don't have their own section of "too dangerous for forum discussions" threads?

Intuhesting...

English is hard.

[UNIChippewa]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

Well, to be fair to Ban, English is his 2nd language; his primary one is Troll.

[Moose39]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

Scouting report done. Should be a good one tonight!

[run&blade]

Re: Up Next: Southern Illinois

Normally espn3 comes in great. Tonight it is awful.