Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

[ronfitch]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

Here is a telling stat..This year we haven't been very good in the 1st quarter..we've given up 91 points already..We gave up only 51 in all of '05...but the big difference..we are outscoring opponents 128-27 in the 2nd quarter this year which has kept us in games.

UNI has only given up 49 points - not 91 - in the first quarter this season, according to http://www.nmnathletics.com/fls/2620....htm#TGBG.RES:

Iowa 7
Hawaii 7 (not by defense; Hawaii recovered fumble for TD)
Northern Colorado 0
TTU 0
Indiana State 14
South Dakota 7
SDSU 7
Western Illinois 0
Illinois State 7
NDSU 0

[vbfan19]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

Scoring by quarters:

[U]Qtr	UNI	Opp[/U]
1st	36	49
2nd	128	27
3rd	53	55
[U]4th	92	52[/U]
Ttl	309	183

[houndawg]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

Conference wise...I think ISUb needs to win at least one of the road games @NDSU or @SIU to really have a shot at an at-large. Their resume is good a win over one of those would be icing almost.

YSUs schedule is just too tough.

SIU has the overall toughest schedule left. They play at YSU and MSU. They don't play well at all at MSU. Also gotta end the season at ISUr. They luck out getting ISUb and UNI at home, but both those games will be brutal (at least i hope).

SIU already beat MSU. They finish with UNI and @ISU. Your zeal is commendable but your facts are a little weak...

[Purrrrrfect]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

UNI has only given up 49 points in the first quarter this season, according to http://www.nmnathletics.com/fls/2620....htm#TGBG.RES:

Iowa 7
Hawaii 7 (not by defense; Hawaii recovered fumble for TD)
Northern Colorado 0
TTU 0
Indiana State 14
South Dakota 7
SDSU 7
Western Illinois 0
Illinois State 7
NDSU 0

True. Even better ! (I just saw it on panthers statsheet when I wrote it at 51..musta let my eyes fool me). Thanks for the correction.

[catsize]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

SIU already beat MSU. They finish with UNI and @ISU. Your zeal is commendable but your facts are a little weak...

Nothing new there.

[catsize]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

I have about as much faith in the selection committee giving UNI an at-large as I have in the government providing for my every need until I die. Win out and let the chips fall as they may....8-4 may not be enough given our history in the selection process.

[Trapped in California]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

I have about as much faith in the selection committee giving UNI an at-large as I have in the government providing for my every need until I die. Win out and let the chips fall as they may....8-4 may not be enough given our history in the selection process.

Maybe we should change our mascot to the "Julias" to ensure a fair outcome?

[vbfan19]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

I have about as much faith in the selection committee giving UNI an at-large as I have in the government providing for my every need until I die. Win out and let the chips fall as they may....8-4 may not be enough given our history in the selection process.

do you have an example of a time where the selection committee has failed to give a UNI team with 8 division I wins a spot in the playoffs? Or even a time when they dissed a 7-4 UNI team with 7 division I wins? (yes, UNI had 7 wins last season, but they also had 5 losses).

Many of the years that people complain about UNI getting left out, they had played 1 or even 2 D2 games and had not met the 7 d-I win threshhold.

If UNI finishes 8-4 this year, they are in. May even have a possibility of a #7 or #8 seed (but I wouldn't hold my breath on the seeding chances)

[06panther10]

What are you talking about? Virtually every season that UNI has missed the playoffs have been 7-8 win seasons where we had strong arguments to make it.

Besides, its more about the garbage that gets in instead of UNI than anything else. Wasnt there 3 Ohio Valley teams in last year? LOL, thats asinine.

[vbfan19]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

What are you talking about? Virtually every season that UNI has missed the playoffs have been 7-8 win seasons where we had strong arguments to make it.

Besides, its more about the garbage that gets in instead of UNI than anything else. Wasnt there 3 Ohio Valley teams in last year? LOL, thats asinine.

show me an example (aside from last year, with the 5 conference losses) where UNI had 7 division I wins and failed to make the playoffs.

UNI did have 7 wins in 2006, but one was over SDSU and I don't think they were a division I counter at that point, as they were still in their transition from D2. Plus, UNI lost to North Dakota that year (and they hadn't even begun their transition yet).

[ubuntuCAT]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

show me an example (aside from last year, with the 5 conference losses) where UNI had 7 division I wins and failed to make the playoffs.

UNI did have 7 wins in 2006, but one was over SDSU and I don't think they were a division I counter at that point, as they were still in their transition from D2. Plus, UNI lost to North Dakota that year (and they hadn't even begun their transition yet).

I think in general it's been more about how in the heck did the committee pick a team or two above UNI.

[UNIdad]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

This is an interesting watch. I don't think you could say it speaks for the entire committee but I have a hard time believing that some of this sentiment isn't shared.

Football Selection Process--Troy Dannen

Very interesting. Glad to have a rep on the committee, both to make sure we are well represented in committee considerations, but also so we can benefit from lessons learned about how the committee makes its decisions.

[ronfitch]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

This is an interesting watch. I don't think you could say it speaks for the entire committee but I have a hard time believing that some of this sentiment isn't shared.

Football Selection Process--Troy Dannen

Thanks. That is must-watch.

Interesting takeaways (from Troy's perspective):

- Though he cannot vote for UNI, as the Valley rep he will speak about UNI in the committee phone calls
- Though the rule is 6 wins, in his opinion the real minimum D-I wins to be in consideration is 7 in an 11-game season, 8 in a 12-game season
- Trending up in the polls and committee rankings weekly is important- teams need to be playing well at the end of the year

[UNIdad]

Re: Talking about Playoffs? What are the odds.

So, what are the odds of a home game in the playoffs? I would love to make another trip(s) to Cedar Falls for football.

[06panther10]

If we make the playoffs, we are virtually guaranteed 1 home game.