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Bracketology

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  • Bracketology

    Very early, I know but Lunardi has us in the South Region as a #14 seed against #3 Texas Tech. Interestingly he has two of our next opponents playing each other in the Midwest. #7Colorado vs #10 West Virginia.
    "They keep saying that what really matters is not whether you win or lose, but how you played the game. The trouble is that the best way to determine how you played the game is by whether you won or lost." - Anonymous

  • #2
    We were a 12 seed a week or so ago until the MVC started dropping in perception. None of the bracket stuff matters to us unless we two of our next three (D-I) games. Otherwise, all that matters is three games in St Louis.

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    • #3
      Hmmm. Wrong thread. Didn't expect basketball bracketology today!

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      • #4
        FWIW, Lunardi bumped us up to a 12 seed with his update this morning. It would technically put us on the bubble. That Colorado game is probably a must win for any chance at an at large though - without it, our best win won't be very good, no matter how conference play goes.
        To avoid confusion - my username is baseball (Cy Young award) related, NOT for the Cyclones.

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        • #5
          Originally posted by CyCarp View Post
          FWIW, Lunardi bumped us up to a 12 seed with his update this morning. It would technically put us on the bubble. That Colorado game is probably a must win for any chance at an at large though - without it, our best win won't be very good, no matter how conference play goes.
          I mean theoretically if we lose to Colorado and go undefeated in the Valley, I highly doubt we'd be left out at 28-2. Luckily our name carries some weight among mid majors. Not that I'm delusional enough to expect that to happen.

          Beat Colorado and we've got some wiggle room.

          Not getting my hopes up for an at large this season. Seems improbable at this point, but ya never know.

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          • #6
            FWIW, Torvik has us at 24-6 and 14-4 in the Valley though we're favored in every game left except Colorado.

            Say that plays out exactly that way and we get to Sunday in StL and I'd feel pretty good sitting at 26-7.

            Lots and lots of basketball to be played.

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            • #7
              Originally posted by BCPanther View Post
              FWIW, Torvik has us at 24-6 and 14-4 in the Valley though we're favored in every game left except Colorado.

              Say that plays out exactly that way and we get to Sunday in StL and I'd feel pretty good sitting at 26-7.

              Lots and lots of basketball to be played.
              Your last point is exactly right, but oh boy, I think we would be sweating pretty good on selection Sunday if that were the case. We would have exactly zero Quad 1 wins and sitting right in the spot NET and RPI-wise where teams can be left out. Getting a win at Colorado definitely keeps things more interesting from the at-large perspective and worth following throughout the year.

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              • #8
                26-7 wouldn't get it done. ISUr went 27-6 in a stronger MVC, was top 40 by most metrics, and had a win over Wichita, a top 25 win that UNI won't get if they lose to Colorado. 26-7 would be less "sweating on Selection Sunday" and more "Well we're not making it in" for me. Don't forget, not only do we need the metrics on our side, we also need it to be waaaaaaaaay better than the field. It's an uphill battle against undeserving P5s, always has been always will be.

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                • #9
                  Bracketology isn't even fun any more in the MVC/Mid majors in general. Unless we win basically all of our games (like 30) we just need to win in St. Louis.

                  Sucks but appears that is the way it is going to be.

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                  • #10
                    With no wichita or Creighton, not getting in unless we win the valley tournament. One bid league. Pissing the WV game down the pant leg didn’t help the at large crowd

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                    • #11
                      Pretty meaningless, but we cracked the top 25 in Jeff Goodman's rankings. I'd like to think we get some votes next week if we don't lay an egg tomorrow.
                      To avoid confusion - my username is baseball (Cy Young award) related, NOT for the Cyclones.

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                      • #12
                        Top 25 and 1, tbf. But yeah, 10-1 with a great road win seems enough for a few votes.

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                        • #13
                          The only Bracketology we need to worry about is win basically every game unfortunately.

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                          • #14
                            The committee will view any Valley loss as bad loss.

                            time will tell if Colorado is a huge win. Meaning, will they be ranked in March.

                            St Louis and building confidence towards that is all that matters.

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                            • #15


                              Mid Major Madness can be pretty hit or miss in my opinion but this seems like a pretty realistic take. At-large is possible but gotta win a lot of games.

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