Bracketology

[kochrab]

https://www.midmajormadness.com/2019...rnament-resume

Mid Major Madness can be pretty hit or miss in my opinion but this seems like a pretty realistic take. At-large is possible but gotta win a lot of games.

We need a lot of the teams that we beat to win lots of games. Regardless of our wins too we need to practically win out and only lose on the road to maybe 1-2 times to the top 2-3 teams.

[run&blade]

If they only lose one conference game, maybe they get in, big maybe.

If they lose 2 conference games to the same team that eventually wins in St. Louis. Game over no matter what.

[BCPanther]

If they only lose one conference game, maybe they get in, big maybe.

If they lose 2 conference games to the same team that eventually wins in St. Louis. Game over no matter what.

Belmont lost 3 league games in a worse league last year and still got in.

[CyCarp]

Yea, if we lose 2 (between GCU, Marshall, conference) and lose Sunday in STL we're 30-4. If we don't get in with that, this whole thing is more rigged than I imagined. I think we'd be in with that for sure, 1 more loss and it's close - especially if the losses are to teams at the bottom of the conference or a couple in a row late.

[06panther10]

UNI is 28th in the initial NCAA NET rankings. Great start for us.

[BCPanther]

The NET LOVES beating bad teams at home and winning against good ones on the road. We built the perfect schedule for that.

[GoPanthers85]

UNI is 28th in the initial NCAA NET rankings. Great start for us.

Only bad part is the next closest MVC school is Indiana St at 85

[BCPanther]

Only bad part is the next closest MVC school is Indiana St at 85

Good thing that teams get bids and not leagues.

Take care of business and we'll be just fine.

[JD720]

Here's the full list.

https://extra.ncaa.org/solutions/rpi/Stats%20Library/NET%20Nitty%20Gritty%20-%20Dec.%2015,%202019.pdf

[BCPanther]

Using the first NET which will change obviously, here is what league play gets us by quadrant---

Quadrant I--No Games

Quadrant II--3 Games (at Indiana State, at Missouri State, at Bradley)

Quadrant III--8 Games (vs Indiana State, vs Missouri State, vs Bradley, at Valpo, at Illinois State, at Loyola, at Evansville, at Drake)

Quadrant IV--7 Games (at Southern Illinois, vs Southern Illinois, vs Valpo, vs Illinois State, vs Loyola, vs Evansville, vs Drake)

[kochrab]

Using the first NET which will change obviously, here is what league play gets us by quadrant---

Quadrant I--No Games

Quadrant II--3 Games (at Indiana State, at Missouri State, at Bradley)

Quadrant III--8 Games (vs Indiana State, vs Missouri State, vs Bradley, at Valpo, at Illinois State, at Loyola, at Evansville, at Drake)

Quadrant IV--7 Games (at Southern Illinois, vs Southern Illinois, vs Valpo, vs Illinois State, vs Loyola, vs Evansville, vs Drake)

If we can win all Quad 3&4 games and only drop 1-2 Quad 2, I think we make a great case for an at-large.

[clenz]

Playing with the computers....

And making some assumptions (dangerous I realize)

Getting to 15 MVC wins (a big task I realize) and Sunday in Arch Madness with a close/last second loss should still get UNI in.

Margin for error is surgical blade thin though

[skydog0784]

Received 12 "others receiving votes" in today's (Mon 12/16) AP Top 25...

https://apnews.com/APTop25CollegeBasketballPoll

[sevelev711]

God can you imagine rooting for a team that isn't receiving AP Votes? Can't relate.

[run&blade]

Avoid laying that early Valley egg on road and off to the races.

If they can string 5 or 6 more in a row it will be interesting looking at the vote count.