*2019-20 other games of interest*

[CyCarp]

Darrell Brown out for Bradley tonight. It'll be interesting to see how they play without him.

[sevelev711]

Well right now they're trailing at the half, to ISUr.

[sevelev711]

Little bit of Bubble watch, good day for the "sure thing B1G teams" beating "bubble B1G teams," (according to Lunardi, who last updated on Friday (a reminder that he has us in the play-in game, in Dayton) Short version: A lot of the teams around us lost recently, which is good.

One of the last four in, who we'd be playing Dayton, Minnesota, took a big loss at home to Michigan State. Essentially nullifies their win @ Ohio State, and they're outside looking in again.

Indiana, a 9 seed, lost at home to Maryland by 1. Won't kick them out but will drop them a bit, and take away margin for error.

Memphis lost at home to SMU, they were a 10 seed but have been in free fall, they'll likely be out.

BYU lost yesterday to San Fran, and they were a "last four byes" team.

Liberty, fellow last 4 in team, lost, and they have a long ways to climb back in, if they ever do. They might've had their bubble pop.

The last of the "last four in" includes Oklahoma, who won against Mississippi State.

It's gonna be hard to see where we are in relation to the bubble as we're likely going to have the auto-bid in most brackets. But it still wouldn't be bad to pay attention to and root against teams around the bubble.

[sevelev711]

Something to note, didn't see this mentioned, Bradley lost to @Indiana State yesterday, which drops Bradley to the fourth best team according to metrics. That @LUC and @ISUb stretch looks absolutely dangerous.

[CyCarp]

I really don't understand the NET rankings. We get a win yesterday and drop 2 spots - both teams that passed us didn't even play yesterday.

[GhostOfRedeker]

Little bit of Bubble watch, good day for the "sure thing B1G teams" beating "bubble B1G teams," (according to Lunardi, who last updated on Friday (a reminder that he has us in the play-in game, in Dayton) Short version: A lot of the teams around us lost recently, which is good.

One of the last four in, who we'd be playing Dayton, Minnesota, took a big loss at home to Michigan State. Essentially nullifies their win @ Ohio State, and they're outside looking in again.

Indiana, a 9 seed, lost at home to Maryland by 1. Won't kick them out but will drop them a bit, and take away margin for error.

Memphis lost at home to SMU, they were a 10 seed but have been in free fall, they'll likely be out.

BYU lost yesterday to San Fran, and they were a "last four byes" team.

Liberty, fellow last 4 in team, lost, and they have a long ways to climb back in, if they ever do. They might've had their bubble pop.

The last of the "last four in" includes Oklahoma, who won against Mississippi State.

It's gonna be hard to see where we are in relation to the bubble as we're likely going to have the auto-bid in most brackets. But it still wouldn't be bad to pay attention to and root against teams around the bubble.

Sev,

Thanks for this post. I appreciate knowing who to root against this time of the year. Hopefully we'll take care of business in St. Louis, get the auto bid and it won't matter, but just in case it's nice to know who to root against. Thanks again for taking the time to type it all up!

[Wxcpanther]

Little bit of Bubble watch, good day for the "sure thing B1G teams" beating "bubble B1G teams," (according to Lunardi, who last updated on Friday (a reminder that he has us in the play-in game, in Dayton) Short version: A lot of the teams around us lost recently, which is good.

One of the last four in, who we'd be playing Dayton, Minnesota, took a big loss at home to Michigan State. Essentially nullifies their win @ Ohio State, and they're outside looking in again.

Indiana, a 9 seed, lost at home to Maryland by 1. Won't kick them out but will drop them a bit, and take away margin for error.

Memphis lost at home to SMU, they were a 10 seed but have been in free fall, they'll likely be out.

BYU lost yesterday to San Fran, and they were a "last four byes" team.

Liberty, fellow last 4 in team, lost, and they have a long ways to climb back in, if they ever do. They might've had their bubble pop.

The last of the "last four in" includes Oklahoma, who won against Mississippi State.

It's gonna be hard to see where we are in relation to the bubble as we're likely going to have the auto-bid in most brackets. But it still wouldn't be bad to pay attention to and root against teams around the bubble.

Ya Liberty lost twice last week to BAD teams. Like, one team is 20 spots behind SIU in KenPom, so still something they could recover from, the other is outside the top 300 for KenPom. They won't be able to recover from that in the conference they're in

[CyCarp]

I'm not sure how to add an image from my phone, but Arch Madness seeding probabilities have us 65% for the 1 seed and 88% for a top 2 seed.

https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status/1221879633777393665?s=09

[sevelev711]

I'm not sure how to add an image from my phone, but Arch Madness seeding probabilities have us 65% for the 1 seed and 88% for a top 2 seed.

https://twitter.com/mjhackman/status...777393665?s=09

Sounds about right. Bradley and Loyola still have to play each other twice and SIU has to go on the road to Chicago and Peoria (and CF). We can stumble and not get the one seed, but we'd have to stumble and someone else would have to ball out hard in order for UNI to not get at least the second.

[Panther Fan]

Is there one fan in Carver Hawkeye that understands why Wisconsin had the ball down 3 and after a TO Wieskamp is shooting FTs. Replay is ruining the game.

[sevelev711]

It hurts rooting for the Hawkeyes, like a lot. Like... a lot a lot. But they're safely in the tournament while Wisconsin is a bubble team. So it probably helps us for Iowa to keep beating teams like Wisconsin. Didn't see the ending, wouldn't be surprised if the Badgers got hosed, but that does benefit us. Don't shed too many tears.

[uni1988]

I for one will never cheer for the Hawkeyes. I HATE that school.

[MNpanthers]

Not even a game of interest but officiating was rough on both teams.

Bubble Wisconsin losing a close road game to a ranked B1G team hardly changes anything about them being on the bubble unfortunately. They only dropped 1 spot in NET

[MNpanthers]

Looking closer at the NET, it's insane how nicely it's treating the B1G though.

Some D1 records for example:
No. 19 OSU 13-7
No. 31 Wisco 12-9
No. 35 Mich 11-8
No. 36 Purdue 11-9
No. 43 Minn 11-9

No. 49 UNI 15-3

At what win total will the committee draw the line for these teams? None of the above seem to be trending for a tourney worthy record

[clenz]

IIRC a B10 team that has hit 9, maybe it's 10, conference wins has never missed the NCAA tournament.

Wisconsin is at 5 right now with 10 games left

Nebraska, Purdue (at home which is a big deal for Purdue because they aren't great away from home), Michigan who has been poor in B10 play, Minnesota twice, Northwestern who is bad, Indiana, Ohio State who is real real bad in B10 play

There are at least 5 wins left, if not 6 or 7. In no world, outside of going 3-7 down the stretch is Wisconsin getting left out.